Impact of Selected Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Market in India
American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Business
Volume 1, Issue 3, December 2015, Pages: 53-63
Received: Dec. 23, 2015; Accepted: Dec. 29, 2015; Published: Jan. 21, 2016
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Debasish Sur, Department of Commerce, the University of Burdwan, West Bengal, India
Amalendu Bhunia, Department of Commerce, University of Kalyani, Kalyani, Nadia, West Bengal, India
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Purpose of the study: The present study investigates the influence of selected macroeconomic variables in terms of international crude oil price, exchange rates, domestic gold price, real interest rates and wholesale price index on stock market indices (sensex and nifty) of India. Background: Macroeconomic variables directly or indirectly affect the stock prices because it influences strongly the stock returns by affecting the stock prices, which supports the existance of a long-run relationship between the macroeconomic variables and stock prices. Methodology: This study is based on time series monthly data collected from Reserve Bank of India database; BSE and NSE database, and yahoo, finance database for the period July 1997 to July 2015 with the application of financial econometrics. Results: The empirical results reveal that sensex and nifty reactions to shocks on crude oil prices, exchanges rates, real interest rates and whole prices indices were positive while a negative shock from sensex and nifty to real interest was noticed.
Macroeconomic Indicators, Stock Market, India, Cointegration Test, Causality Test, Vector Error Correction Model
To cite this article
Debasish Sur, Amalendu Bhunia, Impact of Selected Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Market in India, American Journal of Theoretical and Applied Business. Vol. 1, No. 3, 2015, pp. 53-63. doi: 10.11648/j.ajtab.20150103.11
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